Does external debt drive inflation in Sudan: evidence from symmetric and asymmetric ARDL approaches

نویسندگان

چکیده

Purpose This study aims to examine the symmetric and asymmetric impact of external debt on inflation in Sudan from 1970 2020 within a multivariate framework by including money supply nominal effective exchange rate as additional determinants. Design/methodology/approach The authors utilize an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model inflation, while is examined using Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model. existence long-run relationship between tested bounds-testing approach cointegration, vector error-correction estimated determine short parameters equilibrium dynamics. Findings linear results show that has no statistically significant long run. On contrary, NARDL positive negative shocks affect elasticity coefficients nonlinear models reveal domestic inflation. In contrast, Practical implications reliance analysis may not be sufficient uncover linkage Proper management crucial control rates Sudan. Originality/value To date, empirical assessed debt-inflation nexus its potential asymmetry Sudan, current fill this gap literature.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of business and socio-economic development

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2635-1374', '2635-1692']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/jbsed-03-2023-0023